← North American National Championship
Wind Wakeup ComboTier 2
at North American National Championship
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Razorgale | 9.8% | 6 | 1-4-1 | 25.0% | 35.0% | 40.5% | -5.1 |
| Water Exia | 7.8% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 77.3% | +20.3 |
| Water Genbu | 6.9% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 56.3% | +4.7 |
| Fire Oblation | 5.9% | 7 | 5-2-0 | 71.4% | 63.6% | 62.9% | +6.5 |
| Water Aetherwing | 5.9% | 5 | 1-4-0 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 35.7% | -8.2 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.6% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 54.6% | +2.6 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.9% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 79.6% | +22.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 4.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.1% | -1.9 |
| Water Whirlpool Mill | 4.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.1% | +17.8 |
| Fire Slimes | 3.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 48.2% | -1.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.3% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 70.9% | +15.6 |
| Fire Suzaku | 3.3% | 6 | 2-4-0 | 33.3% | 40.0% | 31.8% | -9.7 |
| Water Fractal | 2.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.5% | +13.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.5% | +20.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.1% | +13.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.3% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 59.1% | +5.2 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.5% | -10.5 |
| Fire Exia | 2.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.5 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.1 |
| Horse and Taxes | 1.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.9% | -14.6 |
| Fire Umbra Ciel | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 64.4% | +23.1 |
| Water Tera Diao Chan | 1.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chess | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.0% | +16.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arisanna | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 63.6% | +21.8 |
| Fire Crescendo | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 69.5% | +31.1 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 0.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.9% | +19.0 |
| Water Astra Ranger | 0.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 35.7% | -22.9 |
| Water Chess | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Merlin | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Jin | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exalted Alice | 0.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +1.7 |
| Wind Exia | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 0.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 8 from this event
The 8 public Wind Wakeup Combo decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 26 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 26 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reconnaissance Scout | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Aether's Embrace | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ranger Strides | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Coronation Ceremony | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Backup Charger | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Prismspire Scepter | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Topsy Decree | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Concealed Marksman | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Palvor Sword | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Liu Bei, Oathkeeper | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Draught of Stamina | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Peer Beyond | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Second Wind | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Steady Sharpshooter | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Invective Instruction | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Portentous Tanggu | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Scout the Land | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Lone Mercenary | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |